{"id":715,"date":"2016-06-16T11:58:14","date_gmt":"2016-06-16T10:58:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/copyright.lboro.ac.uk\/crcc\/?p=715"},"modified":"2016-06-30T08:02:00","modified_gmt":"2016-06-30T07:02:00","slug":"hard-evidence-analysis-shows-extent-press-bias-towards-brexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.lboro.ac.uk\/crcc\/eu-referendum\/hard-evidence-analysis-shows-extent-press-bias-towards-brexit\/","title":{"rendered":"Hard Evidence: analysis shows extent of press bias towards Brexit"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Sun\u2019s declaration of support for the Leave campaign<\/a> in the EU referendum might seem entirely predictable. After all, the paper has been at the forefront of EU-bashing for decades, most memorably in its \u201cUp Yours Delors<\/a>\u201d headline from 1990 when it stated its forthright views on proposals for a European Currency Unit. But there are three reasons why this development highlights the need for a detailed and nuanced analysis of press partisanship in the referendum campaign.<\/p>\n

This is not an \u201ceither\/or\u201d matter, even though the referendum will ultimately be decided by a stark two-way choice. Endorsements for either option can range from strong advocacy to tepid. We need to consider where titles sit on the continuum of opinion between these polarities.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
The Sun has always been quite clear as to where it stands on EU.<\/span>
\nLoughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

In making this assessment, there is also a need to examine what newspapers do in their routine coverage as well as say in their major leader editorials. There are times when these are not entirely in accordance. A famous example of this occurred in the 1997 UK general election, when The Sun made an early declaration that it \u201cbacked Blair\u201d. This was followed by several weeks of decidedly lukewarm coverage<\/a> towards New Labour.<\/p>\n

And the political complexities of the EU referendum also mean that national newspapers cannot orient to their usual party political alliances. The 2015 general election saw the re-emergence of a highly partisan \u201cTory press\u201d in the UK<\/a> but participants in this group now have to decide which Conservative party they want to support \u2013 as the referendum has divided the party from top to bottom. They also need to consider whether they should temper or increase their criticisms of the leaders of other parties: Jeremy Corbyn, Nigel Farage, Nicola Sturgeon and others. It\u2019s all very complicated.<\/p>\n

Crunching the numbers<\/h2>\n

Loughborough University\u2019s Centre for Research in Communication and Culture has been closely monitoring<\/a> national press partisanship in the referendum as part of a wider \u201creal time\u201d news audit of the campaign.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Daily Mail makes its position clear.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Although many national newspapers have yet to formally declare their position, our findings \u2013 based on an analysis of 1,127 items published in the national daily press between May 6 and June 8 \u2013 provide some clear indications as to where support is likely to be eventually distributed.<\/p>\n

Our latest findings show that referendum press coverage<\/a> may be full of heated claim and counter-claim from different camps but there is less evidence that this is producing consistent and concerted patterning in the news angles adopted by many newspapers.<\/p>\n

The graph below shows that a high proportion of items across many titles have reported the competing arguments rather than advanced arguments that favour one particular side. Furthermore, this distribution does not map neatly onto traditional means of differentiating the press sector as \u201cpopular\u201d (Daily Mirror, Daily Star and The Sun), \u201cmid-market\u201d (Daily Express and Daily Mail) and \u201cquality\u201d (Daily Telegraph, Financial Times, Guardian and The Times) newspapers.<\/p>\n

This suggests the differences cannot be explained entirely by differing conventions regarding the presentation of political news. The Sun may now have made up its mind on the decision but these results suggest it spent quite a bit of time thinking about it.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Loughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span>, Author provided<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

How does this coverage sit alongside other articles where it was possible to deduce the privileging of one or other camp? To assess this, we individually scored each item. Where an article was orientated to the Remain position, it was given a value of +1. If it privileged Leave, it scored as -1. Items where there was no clear evaluation, or coverage was balanced, were coded as zero.<\/p>\n

This rudimentary scale allowed us to calculate two measures: first, the volume \u2013 the total number of pro-Remain items minus the number of pro-Leave items; and second, the average \u2013 the mean score for referendum items when they were published. Positive values for either measure indicate a pro-Remain orientation, negative values reveal a pro-Leave orientation. The further away either value is from zero, the stronger the partisanship of coverage on the continuum.<\/p>\n

The graph below provides the volume comparison, organising titles in rank order.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Loughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span>, Author provided<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

And here we see the equivalent ranking for average which shows that, on balance, the Financial Times was the most pro-Remain, followed by the Guardian, while the Daily Express and Daily Mail have been the most consistently pro-Leave.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Loughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span>, Author provided<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

As these different measures provide slight variations in rank order, we have combined them to establish the current, overall positioning of papers on the continuum of opinion:<\/p>\n

\"\"
Loughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

These results show we are a lifetime away from the 1975 EEC referendum, when all UK national daily newspapers, with the exception of the Morning Star, endorsed the case for staying in Europe<\/a>. But they also suggest a degree of parity, with five titles on either side of the debate. Across the 1,127 items sampled there was only a balance of 64 articles in favour of Leave compared with Remain.<\/p>\n

Where the eyeballs are<\/h2>\n

But these figures give no consideration to the different reach of newspapers. When you take newspaper circulation into account a significant gulf opens up between the two sides. A straightforward percentage comparison of the number of Remain to Leave items finds 41% were pro-Remain and 59% pro-Leave. But when weightings for circulation are factored in, the fact that the highest circulating newspapers have tended to support Brexit means that the gap between the two positions widens into a substantial difference of 18% pro-Remain and 82% pro-Leave.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Loughborough University Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/span>, Author provided<\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

This suggests that the real significance of The Sun\u2019s decision to back withdrawal from the EU is not so much in opening up a \u201ccoverage gap\u201d between Remain and Leave campaigns but in contributing to a very significant \u201ccirculation gap\u201d between the two positions \u2013 put simply, more newspaper readers are exposed to the Brexit message. Most of the newspapers aligned with Leave also have a significant C2DE readership \u2013 that is, working class newspaper readers and those in casual or no employment. These may be crucial groups<\/a> in determining the outcome of the referendum vote.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/youtu.be\/4fhD95HLMPw<\/a><\/p>\n

David Deacon<\/a>, Professor of Communication and Media Analysis, Loughborough University<\/a><\/em>; Dominic Wring<\/a>, Professor of Political Communication, Loughborough University<\/a><\/em>; Emily Harmer<\/a>, Lecturer in Communication and Media Studies, Loughborough University<\/a><\/em>; James Stanyer<\/a>, Professor of Communication and Media Analysis, Loughborough University<\/a><\/em>, and John Downey<\/a>, Professor of Comparative Media Analysis, Loughborough University<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

This article was originally published on The Conversation<\/a>. Read the original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Sun\u2019s declaration of support for the Leave campaign in the EU referendum might seem entirely predictable. After all, the paper has been at the forefront of EU-bashing for decades, most memorably in its \u201cUp Yours Delors\u201d headline from 1990 when it stated its forthright views on proposals for a European Currency Unit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":108,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-eu-referendum"],"yoast_head":"\nHard Evidence: analysis shows extent of press bias towards Brexit - Centre for Research in Communication and Culture<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.lboro.ac.uk\/crcc\/eu-referendum\/hard-evidence-analysis-shows-extent-press-bias-towards-brexit\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hard Evidence: analysis shows extent of press bias towards Brexit - Centre for Research in Communication and Culture\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Sun\u2019s declaration of support for the Leave campaign in the EU referendum might seem entirely predictable. 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